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Journal of Natural Science and Research Review (JNSRR) · Research article · Open access

Forecasting Typhoid Fever Cases using Decomposition Method, Holt-Winter’s Method, and Sarima Method

Adeniyi Oyewole Ogunmola; Yunusa Namale Jibo

16 September 2025 · Vol. 1, Issue 3, pp. 49-55

DOI: 10.65150/EP-jnsrr/V1E3/2025-A012 (registration with Crossref in progress)

What is this article about?

This study compares the forecasting accuracy of the three univariate time series models, Decomposition, Winter’s and Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) method to predict also monthly typhoid fever cases.

Article at a glance

Journal
Journal of Natural Science and Research Review (JNSRR)
Published
16 September 2025
Volume / issue / pages
Vol. 1, Issue 3, pp. 49-55
ISSN
3051-3766 (online) · 3051-3758 (print)
Licence
CC BY 4.0 — free to read and reuse with attribution
Peer review
Double-blind, at least two independent reviewers
Publisher
EP Journals Group

Abstract

This study compares the forecasting accuracy of the three univariate time series models, Decomposition, Winter’s and Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) method to predict also monthly typhoid fever cases. Secondary data is collected from Federal Medical Centre Jalingo and expl

Cite this article

APA
Adeniyi Oyewole Ogunmola; Yunusa Namale Jibo (2025). Forecasting Typhoid Fever Cases using Decomposition Method, Holt-Winter’s Method, and Sarima Method. Journal of Natural Science and Research Review, 1(3), 49-55. https://www.ep-journals.org/articles/forecasting-typhoid-fever-cases-using-decomposition-method-holt-winter-s-e0c89ae6
BibTeX
@article{Adeniyi2025,
  title   = {Forecasting Typhoid Fever Cases using Decomposition Method, Holt-Winter’s Method, and Sarima Method},
  author  = {Adeniyi Oyewole Ogunmola; Yunusa Namale Jibo},
  journal = {Journal of Natural Science and Research Review},
  year    = {2025},
  volume  = {1},
  number  = {3},
  pages   = {49-55},
  url     = {https://www.ep-journals.org/articles/forecasting-typhoid-fever-cases-using-decomposition-method-holt-winter-s-e0c89ae6}
}

Questions about this article

Who wrote this article?

Adeniyi Oyewole Ogunmola; Yunusa Namale Jibo.

Where and when was it published?

In Journal of Natural Science and Research Review, Volume 1, Issue 3, pages 49-55, published by EP Journals Group on 16 September 2025.

Is this article free to read?

Yes. It is open access under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0) licence, so anyone can read, share and reuse it with attribution.

What is the DOI of this article?

10.65150/EP-jnsrr/V1E3/2025-A012. Registration with Crossref is in progress.

How do I cite this article?

APA: Adeniyi Oyewole Ogunmola; Yunusa Namale Jibo (2025). Forecasting Typhoid Fever Cases using Decomposition Method, Holt-Winter’s Method, and Sarima Method. Journal of Natural Science and Research Review, 1(3), 49-55. https://www.ep-journals.org/articles/forecasting-typhoid-fever-cases-using-decomposition-method-holt-winter-s-e0c89ae6

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